Punter and his men are all set to lock horns with Englishmen in what promises to be an enthralling Ashes series. The upcoming Ashes series has been touted as the Test series of the calendar year and there is an air of expectancy in the build up to the series.
The last occasion when England triumphed in an Ashes series Down Under dates back to 1987. Mike Gatting’s men then prevailed over the Aussies led by Allan Border. One of the chief Architects of that Ashes triumph in 1987 was Chris Broad who shone with the bat scoring three centuries in five test matches. Chris’s son Stuart could hold the key for England’s success in Ashes 2010.
In each of the five Ashes series played Down Under since 1987, England has been drubbed and the contests have been lopsided. The 2010 edition promises to be a close affair primarily because the Englishmen seem to have all the aces up their sleeves this time around and the Aussies no longer have the aura of invincibility even while playing at Home.
England are well endowed in the pace department with the trio of Finn, Anderson and Broad ably supported by Tremlett and Bresnan. Anderson being the spearhead of the pace attack should lead from the front. He is well attuned to performing in English conditions where the length needs to be fuller in order to exploit the lateral movement on offer. In Australian conditions, Anderson would be well served if he alters his natural length and keeps the length a little shorter as he would not get the same kind of lateral movement on offer in English conditions.
Finn, Tremlett and Broad could form a potent force on Aussie tracks as the condition lends itself well to those who are willing to bend the back and hit the deck. Due to the bounce and carry on offer in Aussies wickets (especially Gabba and MCG, WACA has been disappointingly placid over the last four to five years) their natural short of a good length stuff delivered through high arm action would come in handy.
Swann and to a lesser extent Panesar would have a huge role to play if England were to defend the Ashes. Swann has been arguably the best Off-Spinner in the last couple of years. He should relish bowling in Adelaide and Sydney especially if England were to win the toss and bat first. England might look at the option of playing Panesar at Sydney as the turf out there traditionally offers lot of purchase for spinners especially on Day 4 and Day 5.
England’s batting fortune would primarily revolve around the form of Strauss, Cook, Trott and Pietersen. Bell, Collingwood and Prior would be able to build on the start provided by the top order and they have effectively done that in the past. Broad and Swann have the ability to add crucial lower order runs. The English batting has a settled look around it and should be able to hold fort against an Aussie attacking lacking in class and caliber ever since the exits of Mcgrath and Warne.
The build-up to the Ashes has not been good for the Aussies. They have lost three tests in a row for the first time since 1988 and as a unit they seem to be a far cry from the golden days when they used to roll over sides in a hurry. In the batting department, with the exception of Ponting, Watson and to an extent Katich, the rest of the line-up seems to be suffering from poor form. Notwithstanding Marcus North’s century in the Bangalore test against India, he has not done enough in terms of numbers to justify his potential. Hussey’s famed consistency has deserted him in the recent past and Clarke is going through a bad patch as well. The Aussie batting line up would be severely tested by the English attack and it is up to the likes of Hussey and Clarke to support Ponting.
The Aussie bowling attack is in a much better shape compared to the batting unit. The trio of Bollinger, Johnson and Hilfenhaus form a good pace attack especially in Home conditions. Nathan Hauritz despite the pasting he received at the hands of the Indians in the recent test series would relish bowling to the Englishmen who are not as adept at facing spin bowling as their Indian counterparts. The Aussies might mull at the option of including Steven Smith at some stage during the Ashes campaign. Smith is being mentored by the legendary Shane Warne and should fancy his chances of making it to the playing XI at Sydney. Shane Watson could be a handy customer provided there is a fair bit of reverse swing on offer with the Old ball. His fuller length makes him potent especially if reverse swing is on offer. The Aussie bowling attack needs to come to the party and they need to cover up for some of the chinks evident in the batting unit.
England appears to be the stronger side on paper to defend the Ashes but I expect the Aussies with their famed grit and determination to push the Englishmen all the way. I expect England to triumph at Brisbane and Sydney. Aussies should prevail at Melbourne and I expect the other two tests at Adelaide and Perth to be drawn affairs. All in all I expect an encore of Ashes 1987 triumph for the Englishmen with a margin of 2-1.
Submitted by anandnagarajan1973 on Tue, 11/16/2010 - 04:41
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Well thought article
This is a well thought article. Lets hope that England players continue to perform the way they perform. Though Assuies seem to be not playing to their potential, we never know, the Aussies will bounce back at any time especially for the Ashes. Anyways we are going to have a good competition.
As Always a GREAT ARTICLE Andnd
Its really a great analysis of the upcoming Ashes, I totally agree with your views.
Form does not matter in an Ashes Series
Very well argued and written Anand. However, being the eternal Aussie fan that I am, I have to take a slightly different view. Even the last two series that England won at home were close affairs...remember the Cardiff test...Monty and James Anderson held on for 10 overs to secure a draw...
Ricky has also paid some blinders in Ashes...how can we forget that majestic 150 odd he scored to secure a draw in the 2005 series...
Finally, Ashes brings the best of the Poms and Aussies....We have had Botham's Ashes and stirring performances from Warne, Waugh and Vaughan over the years...so I am keeping my fingers crosses...I too believe that it is going to be 2-1 but in favours of the Aussies..
Cheers,
JV
Firstly the very fact that we
Firstly the very fact that we are all talking about Eng chances in a test in Aus itself proves that Eng are a much improved side now and Aus fortunes are looking south.
Eng side is a very good bowling side by I have doubt about their batting that too in Aus conditions. If Eng batting clicks, they have better chances.
Aus is having a very tough time these days...they are going through a post transition phase where they have a group of players who are a sort of "Blow hot- Blow Cold" type and highly inconsistant. They play very well against average teams like Pak,NZ(might have to change my opinion after NZ's current series)etc. They will struggle against stronger sides like SA,SL, and India at home.
Infact not only the Ashes, I seriously doubt Aus chances in 2011 WC. Gone are the days when there was a yawning gap between Aus and the rest. Aus can well face some negetive results this time and their record of 27+ WC victories may come to an end.
I want to see desperately sides like NZ,WI do well...this will increase interest in the game.
solid analysis Anand. My view
solid analysis Anand. My view of the ashes is as follows:
Pitches are going to throw some surprises this ashes
1. Gabba - Ball is going to seam and bounce as always. Whoever bats well in this game will win the test match. This is going to be result game unless the unpredictable Brisbane weather decides to take part in the ashes (remember India vs Aus test when Ganguly saved us the test match with the help of weather!!!). First session of this test match will decide the winner of this game.Broad for England and Bollinger/Ben for Australia will be crucial. This will be 200- 250 scoring match
2. Adelaide - it will be tough work for bowlers. 2nd Innings will be crucial for both the teams. Pieterson and Swann will be key for England. This match will be a ripper!!!!
3. WACA - Boring match of the ashes!!! - Draw (agree with you this has become a flat wicket over the last few years)
4. MCG - Do not agree with you on the nature of wicket. MCG with the drop-in wickets has become a slow wicket with tennis ball kind of bounce. Bowlers have to work hard and bowl lot of cutters. Except for the first session, I don't see too much for fast bowlers. Swann will be crucial for England. England should win this match easily
5. Sydney - Again I disagree. Over the lasst couple of years, seamers are doing well here and particularly this season, SCG has become a seamers wicket. Ben wil be key for Australia and Anderson for England (provided both of them stay fit). I will pick Australia at sydney
Advise for Australia -
1. Go for Doherty especially at Adelaide. Pieterson and Strauss do not play left arm spinners very well.
2. Steven Smith should be in the team as a leg spinner. Leave out Hussey or North ( I would place my bet on North - he has a better Ashes record than Hussey - his offspinners will be worthy)
3. Straussy and Swann are cruicial for England's success. Bowl full length off and outside off to him always. He is not good at driving between mid-off and covers. Attack Swann's first over always
4. Do now worry about Trott (he is a very slow player - he cannot force result)
Advise for England -
1. Bowl Bouncers to Ponting!!!!
2. Bring in Morgan instead of Bell. Morgan is a better pressure player than Bell. Morgan and collingwood will form a deadly combination during pressure situations
3. Broad should be used in short spells.
4. Big worry will be the effectiveness of Anderson - things might fall flat if he does not step up/adjust to the conditions. england should be prepared to change their bowling strategy - may be bring in the Tremlett or the other pace bowler if required.
5. Monty will not too bad at MCG or Adelaide.
Ramp
Cool...
The first guestimate of the Ashes I read, thanks Anand! Good strong points for the English and 2-1 is rather interesting. Adelaide should give a result too (40 wickets is possible within 5 days these days in here) and Perth alone will be a drawn affair. My take is 2-2, a drawn series.
-Nithya
Great article
Thanks for the wonderful Article.
Ram
Excellent Article
Well written article. thanks..
Very well done
Nicely written! Well thought out strong arguments.